Supply & Refining

Venezuela Oil Production by Year, 1980 to 2026

Forty-six years of EIA production data, the 2025-26 swing month by month, what the United States bought, and the OFAC licenses that framed it.

Last updated: October 31, 2026 · Historical data and official documents, not a forecast

Venezuela produced 1,160 thousand barrels a day of crude oil in June 2026, matching May as its highest month since January 2019, according to the EIA’s international statistics, and the EIA’s October 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook estimates 1.21 million barrels a day for September. For the full year 2025 the EIA count is 973 thousand barrels a day, 1.15% of world crude output and 31% of what the country pumped in 1997.

That 2025 figure is 85% above the 2020 low of 527 thousand barrels a day, when the monthly count bottomed at 360 thousand in September 2020. It is still 1,527 thousand barrels a day short of the 2,500 the EIA records for 2014. The table below carries every year from 1980, next to total liquids, the share of world crude, and the crude the United States imported from Venezuela that year. For a list of who else sits in the producer group, see OPEC members in 2026, with dated entries and exits.

Annual crude output, 1980 to 2025

The production column is the EIA series “crude oil including lease condensate,” in thousand barrels a day, from the agency’s International Energy Statistics bulk file. The liquids column adds natural gas plant liquids, refinery processing gain and other liquids. Through 1991 the two columns match in every year except 1984, because the EIA records almost no non-crude liquids for Venezuela before then; from 1993 the gap runs between about 20 and 335 thousand barrels a day. The import column comes from a different EIA program, the U.S. petroleum supply survey, which records crude by country of origin.

Table 1. Venezuela crude oil production, total liquids and U.S. imports, 1980 to 2025 (thousand barrels per day)

YearCrude incl. lease condensateTotal liquidsShare of world crudeU.S. crude imports from Venezuela
19802,1682,1683.64%156
19812,1022,1023.76%147
19821,8951,8953.55%155
19831,8011,8013.38%164
19841,7141,7983.15%253
19851,6771,6773.11%306
19861,7871,7873.17%416
19871,7521,7523.09%488
19881,9031,9033.24%439
19891,9071,9073.19%495
19902,1372,1373.53%666
19912,3752,3753.95%668
19922,3342,3713.88%826
19932,3052,4733.92%1,010
19942,4432,6614.03%1,034
19952,7523,0184.47%1,151
19962,9383,2194.67%1,303
19973,1823,4734.90%1,394
19983,1193,4054.73%1,377
19992,7853,0944.33%1,150
20002,8943,2204.36%1,223
20012,8073,1424.23%1,291
20022,4352,7523.70%1,201
20032,3032,5063.28%1,183
20042,5642,8373.52%1,297
20052,8403,1133.83%1,241
20062,7853,0373.75%1,142
20072,8203,0143.80%1,148
20082,5102,7013.37%1,039
20092,5202,7083.44%951
20102,4102,5983.24%912
20112,5002,6823.33%868
20122,5002,6843.26%912
20132,5002,6833.25%755
20142,5002,6843.18%733
20152,4892,5773.08%776
20162,2542,3302.78%741
20171,9972,0662.46%618
20181,4861,5391.79%506
20198789281.07%81
20205275530.70%none
20215956140.77%none
20227247430.89%none
20237718100.94%132
20248639031.05%228
20259731,0121.15%140

Sources: EIA International Energy Statistics, bulk file INTL.zip (file dated October 19, 2026), series INTL.57-1-VEN-TBPD.A and INTL.53-1-VEN-TBPD.A (last updated July 2, 2026) and INTL.57-1-WORL-TBPD.A (last updated October 2, 2026); EIA, U.S. Imports from Venezuela of Crude Oil, annual (release October 30, 2026). Checked October 31, 2026. “none”: the EIA table is blank for 2020 to 2022, meaning no imports were reported. World share is this page’s arithmetic.

The post-1980 high is 1997 at 3,182 thousand barrels a day, which was 4.9% of the world’s crude that year. The series itself starts in 1973, and 1973 is higher still at about 3,366 thousand. Between 2014 and 2020 output fell by 79%, and the steepest single-year fall was 2019, when the annual average dropped by 608 thousand barrels a day, or 41%, from 2018.

Plateau, climb, slide, collapse, recovery

Plotted, Table 1 is five segments rather than one smooth curve, and each has an explanation in the EIA’s own analysis.

1980 to 1989: a lower plateau

Output drifted from 2,168 thousand barrels a day in 1980 to a low of 1,677 thousand in 1985 and closed the decade at 1,907 thousand. The decade averaged about 1,871 thousand barrels a day, and the country’s share of world crude stayed between 3.1% and 3.8%. The EIA’s February 2024 country brief notes that the state company Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A. (PdVSA) was formed when Venezuela nationalized its oil industry in the 1970s, and that the government gave it significant autonomy until the 1990s.

1990 to 2001: the climb to 3.2 million

Production rose in six of the eight years from 1989 to 1997, from 1,907 to 3,182 thousand barrels a day. U.S. imports from Venezuela rose with it, from 495 thousand barrels a day in 1989 to 1,394 thousand in 1997, which was 16.9% of all U.S. crude imports that year and 44% of everything Venezuela produced. 1998 and 1999 gave part of the gain back, and 2001 still stood at 2,807 thousand.

2002 to 2015: a step down, then a long flat stretch

2002 and 2003 fell to 2,435 and 2,303 thousand barrels a day. The EIA’s May 2019 Today in Energy article dates the low point of that episode to January 2003, “when a nationwide strike and civil unrest largely brought the operations” of PdVSA to a halt. Output recovered to 2,840 thousand in 2005, then settled between 2,410 and 2,520 thousand from 2008 to 2015. The EIA prints exactly 2,500 for each year from 2011 to 2014, a round figure that reads as an estimate held level rather than four measured years that happened to match.

2016 to 2020: the collapse

From 2,489 thousand barrels a day in 2015, output fell to 2,254, 1,997, 1,486, 878 and finally 527 thousand in 2020. The EIA’s May 2019 article blamed widespread power outages, mismanagement of the oil industry and U.S. sanctions directed at the energy sector and PdVSA. It also counted active oil rigs falling from nearly 70 in the first quarter of 2016 to 24 in the first quarter of 2019, and production declines averaging 33,000 barrels a day each month in 2018. Venezuela’s world share went from 3.08% in 2015 to 0.70% in 2020.

2021 to 2025: a partial recovery

Every year since 2020 has been higher than the one before: 595, 724, 771, 863 and 973 thousand barrels a day. The EIA’s October 2023 Today in Energy article tied the earlier part of that rise to diluent supply and to Chevron’s joint ventures. Diluent matters because, as the EIA’s 2019 article explains, the extra-heavy crude from the Orinoco Oil Belt has to be diluted with condensate or other light oils before it can move by pipeline. That article put Chevron’s share at 135,000 barrels a day in 2023. Its projection of about 900,000 barrels a day by the end of 2024 was a 2023 expectation; the monthly count for December 2024 now stands at 890 thousand.

Month by month: January 2025 to September 2026

The EIA publishes two monthly crude numbers for Venezuela, and they do not match. The Short-Term Energy Outlook’s Table 3d (crude oil) runs 30 thousand barrels a day below the international statistics series (crude including lease condensate) in every month from January 2025 to June 2026. Table 3d carries a footnote that differences in reported data across countries can cause inconsistencies in where crude ends and other liquids begin. Total liquids, in Table 3c, line up with the international series. So the 2025 annual average is 0.94 million barrels a day in the outlook and 973 thousand in the international series: the same agency, two definitions, both correct on their own terms.

Table 2. Venezuela production and U.S. imports by month, January 2025 to September 2026

MonthSTEO crude (million b/d)STEO total liquids (million b/d)EIA intl. crude + condensate (thousand b/d)U.S. imports from Venezuela (thousand b/d)
Jan 20250.900.97930287
Feb 20250.910.98940209
Mar 20250.920.99950253
Apr 20250.931.00960170
May 20250.941.01970118
Jun 20250.951.0298086
Jul 20250.951.029807
Aug 20250.961.0399539
Sep 20250.971.041,000102
Oct 20250.971.041,005135
Nov 20250.971.041,005139
Dec 20250.930.99955137
Jan 20260.800.87830200
Feb 20260.951.02980231
Mar 20261.031.101,060373
Apr 20261.071.141,100429
May 20261.131.201,160471
Jun 20261.131.201,160630
Jul 20261.151.22not yet published701
Aug 20261.181.25not yet published655
Sep 20261.211.28not yet publishednot yet published

Sources: EIA, Short-Term Energy Outlook, October 2026 (released October 6, 2026; modeling completed October 1, 2026), Tables 3c and 3d, monthly spreadsheet; EIA International Energy Statistics, INTL.57-1-VEN-TBPD.M (updated October 2, 2026); EIA, U.S. Imports from Venezuela of Crude Oil, monthly (release October 30, 2026). Checked October 31, 2026. The outlook shows no values for Venezuela after September 2026: the EIA does not publish forecasts for individual OPEC countries.

Two things stand out. One is the dip: the outlook’s crude figure goes from 0.97 million barrels a day in November 2025 to 0.93 million in December and 0.80 million in January 2026, then back to 0.95 million in February. The EIA’s February 2026 outlook explained it: an oil blockade and the interception of sanctioned tankers near Venezuela halted a large portion of the country’s exports in December, which shut in production. Exports recovered in January after licenses were granted to the trading companies Vitol and Trafigura, and OFAC then expanded the general license so more companies could transport and sell Venezuelan crude. That outlook expected production to return to pre-blockade activity by the second quarter of 2026, and the October numbers show it did: the second-quarter average of 1.11 million barrels a day is above every quarter of 2025.

The other is the climb after that. From January to September 2026 the outlook’s crude figure rose by 410 thousand barrels a day, from 800 thousand to 1,210 thousand (1.21 million barrels a day is 1,210 thousand). Quarterly averages from the outlook’s own quarterly table are 0.91, 0.94, 0.96 and 0.96 million for the four quarters of 2025, then 0.93, 1.11 and 1.18 million for the first three quarters of 2026. The outlook’s monthly values for the latest months are estimates and tend to be revised, a point the section on revisions below puts numbers on. For how to read those tables, see our guide to the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook.

OPEC’s two series and the EIA’s third

Search for Venezuela’s production and three different numbers come up for the same month, often without labels. They come from different methods, and each is published as its own series.

  • OPEC, secondary sources. The Monthly Oil Market Report’s Table 5-7 gives each member’s crude production “based on secondary sources,” OPEC’s assessment from outside estimates. It is the table that carries OPEC’s group total; the notes say totals reflect available secondary sources to date.
  • OPEC, direct communication. Table 5-8 gives crude production “based on direct communication,” the figure as reported by each member country. Some countries leave cells blank in that table; Venezuela fills them.
  • EIA. The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s international statistics and its Short-Term Energy Outlook, built independently of both OPEC tables.

Table 3. Venezuela crude oil production in three separate series (thousand barrels per day)

PeriodOPEC, secondary sourcesOPEC, direct communicationGap: direct minus secondaryEIA intl. crude + condensate
2023760783+23771
2024867921+54863
1Q 20259321,035+103940
2Q 20259251,062+137970
3Q 20259451,095+150992
Sep 20259631,105+1421,000
Oct 20259611,132+1711,005
Nov 20259341,142+2081,005

Sources: OPEC, Monthly Oil Market Report, December 2025 (issued December 11, 2025), Tables 5-7 and 5-8 (Wayback copy, saved April 5, 2026); EIA International Energy Statistics, INTL.57-1-VEN-TBPD (annual; 2025 quarters are this page’s means of the monthly values). Checked October 31, 2026. The gap column is this page’s arithmetic. The three columns are separate series and are not meant to be averaged.

The gap between OPEC’s two tables grew each year in this window. It was 23 thousand barrels a day in 2023, 54 thousand in 2024 and 208 thousand in November 2025, when Venezuela’s reported figure was 22% above the secondary-source figure. The EIA sits between the two in every row of Table 3 except 2024, where it is slightly below both, at 863 thousand against OPEC’s 867 and 921. None of the three is the official number in a sense that settles the matter; they answer slightly different questions. A figure attributed to “OPEC” without a table name could be either one, and the difference in November 2025 was larger than the EIA’s entire increase in annual output from 2023 to 2025, 202 thousand barrels a day.

The same issue, revised

OPEC revises too. The April 2025 report (Wayback copy, saved January 4, 2026) put first-quarter 2025 production at 912 thousand barrels a day on secondary sources; the December 2025 report shows 932 thousand for the same quarter. The direct-communication figure for that quarter, 1,035 thousand, did not change between the two reports. In April 2025 the March 2025 figures were 911 thousand (secondary sources) and 1,048 thousand (direct communication), against the EIA’s current 950 thousand for that month.

The EIA revises its own history as well, and its archive shows by how much. In May 2019 the EIA reported that April 2019 production averaged 830,000 barrels a day; the international series now carries 885 thousand for that month. In October 2023 the EIA reported 735,000 barrels a day for September 2023 and a recent high of 790,000 in July 2023; the same months now read 765 and 820 thousand. Each revision raised the figure by 30 to 55 thousand barrels a day. Anyone comparing a number from an old article with a number from today’s database is partly comparing two vintages. That October 2023 article also said Venezuela produced about 3.2 million barrels a day in 2000; the international series has 2000 at 2,894 thousand for crude and 3,220 thousand for total liquids, so the 3.2 million matches the liquids definition. Treating it as crude would overstate that year by more than 300 thousand.

OPEC membership and quota status add one more layer. The EIA’s October 2026 outlook notes that Iran, Libya and Venezuela are not subject to the OPEC+ agreements, so Venezuela has no production target to compare against, unlike most members. Our explainer on OPEC+ quotas and compliance covers how the targets work for those that do have one.

What US refiners imported from Venezuela

Imports from Venezuela peaked in 1997 at 1,394 thousand barrels a day and stayed above 1.1 million every year from 1995 to 2007. They then shrank faster than production did: 912 thousand in 2012, 618 in 2017, 506 in 2018 and 81 in 2019. The monthly series shows 561 thousand in January 2019, 47 thousand in March, 11 thousand in May, and then nothing until January 2023. The EIA’s February 2024 country brief dates the stop to shortly after the United States sanctioned PdVSA in January 2019; OFAC’s Venezuela page lists the oil-sector determination under Executive Order 13850 as effective January 28, 2019.

Table 4. U.S. crude imports from Venezuela as a share of U.S. imports and of Venezuelan output, selected years

YearImports from Venezuela (thousand b/d)All U.S. crude imports (thousand b/d)Venezuela share of U.S. importsImports as share of Venezuelan crude output
19971,3948,22516.9%44%
20011,2919,32813.8%46%
20185067,7686.5%34%
20231326,4892.0%17%
20242286,5883.5%26%
20251406,1682.3%14%

Sources: EIA, U.S. Imports from Venezuela of Crude Oil and U.S. Imports of Crude Oil, annual (release October 30, 2026); EIA International Energy Statistics, INTL.57-1-VEN-TBPD.A. Checked October 31, 2026. Shares are this page’s arithmetic and compare two different EIA programs.

In 2025 Venezuela supplied 2.3% of U.S. crude imports, against 16.9% in 1997. Measured from the other side, the United States took about 14% of Venezuela’s 2025 crude output, against 44% in 1997. That ratio is approximate: the import series counts barrels entering the United States, not barrels lifted in Venezuela, and the EIA’s February 2026 outlook noted that oil lifted by trading companies in early 2026 went first to storage terminals around the Caribbean, so arrivals can lag production by weeks or months.

2025 itself was two halves. Monthly imports ran 287, 209 and 253 thousand barrels a day in the first quarter, then fell to 86 in June and 7 in July, after Chevron’s license wound down (see Table 5). They recovered to 102 thousand in September and 137 thousand in December. 2026 has been a different scale: 373 thousand in March, 630 in June, 701 in July and 655 in August. Set against the international production series, U.S. imports equalled about 24% of Venezuelan crude output in January 2026 and 54% in June 2026. The full picture of where the rest of U.S. imports come from, and how the 2026 Persian Gulf disruption changed it, is in U.S. oil imports by country, explained.

Why the Gulf Coast? Venezuelan export grades are heavy and sour; OFAC’s FAQ 1226 names Merey 16 and bitumen blends among the crude blends it treats as Venezuelan-origin oil. The EIA’s October 2023 article said Gulf Coast refineries are well suited to that kind of crude, and described Citgo, then PdVSA’s U.S. subsidiary, as having three refineries at Lemont, Lake Charles and Corpus Christi with a combined capacity of over 800,000 barrels a day, designed to process heavy oil. OFAC’s FAQ 1246 (March 2026) says any sale of Citgo shares in the Crystallex case still requires a specific license. How heavy crudes are classified, and which refineries can run them, is covered in crude oil API gravity and sulfur, explained, and the discount heavy barrels trade at is the subject of the WCS-WTI differential, the Canadian heavy benchmark that competes for the same coking capacity.

OFAC general licenses for Venezuelan oil, dated

Since 2019, the U.S. trade in Venezuelan oil has run through general licenses issued by the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control under the Venezuela Sanctions Regulations, 31 CFR part 591. A general license authorizes a described activity for every U.S. person without an individual application. OFAC replaces licenses with lettered versions (46, 46A, 46B and so on), so the useful facts are when the first version appeared, which version is current, and whether it is still in force. Specific licenses issued to individual companies are not listed on OFAC’s program page and are not in this table.

Table 5. OFAC actions on Venezuelan oil, with status as of October 31, 2026

License or orderFirst issuedLatest version and dateStatus, October 31, 2026
GL 41 (Chevron joint ventures)Nov 26, 202241B, Mar 24, 2025Expired. 41A (Mar 4, 2025) set a wind-down to Apr 3, 2025; 41B extended the wind-down to 12:01 a.m. EDT May 27, 2025
GL 44 (oil and gas sector operations)Oct 18, 202344A, Apr 17, 2024Expired. 44A authorized only the wind-down, through 12:01 a.m. EDT May 31, 2024
GL 8O (PdVSA, limited maintenance or wind-down for certain entities)Earlier 8-series versions8O, Nov 7, 2024Expired. Authorized through 12:01 a.m. EDT May 9, 2025
GL 10A (buying refined products from PdVSA inside Venezuela)Earlier version (GL 10)10A, Aug 5, 2019Listed as current
E.O. 14373 (Foreign Government Deposit Funds)Jan 9, 2026Jan 9, 2026In force; payments to blocked persons under the licenses below go to this account, except local taxes, permits and fees
GL 46 (Venezuelan-origin oil; petrochemicals added later)Jan 29, 202646E, Sep 28, 2026Current
GL 47 (sale of U.S.-origin diluents to Venezuela)Feb 3, 202647B, Aug 27, 2026Current
GL 48 (goods and services for oil and gas exploration and production)Feb 10, 202648D, Sep 28, 2026Current
GL 49 (contingent contracts for new investment)Feb 13, 202649B, Sep 28, 2026Current
GL 50 (oil and gas operations of six named companies)Feb 13, 202650C, Aug 27, 2026Current. Annex: BP, Chevron, Eni, Maurel & Prom, Repsol, Shell
GL 52 (transactions with PdVSA by established U.S. entities)Mar 18, 202652C, Sep 14, 2026Current
GL 5Z (PdVSA 2020 8.5 percent bond)Earlier 5-series versions5Z, Sep 16, 2026Current; authorizes certain bond transactions on or after Nov 5, 2026

Sources: OFAC, Venezuela-Related Sanctions program page (general license list, executive orders, Federal Register notices and recent actions), and Archive of Revoked and Expired General Licenses, both checked October 31, 2026; the license documents for GL 41, 41A, 41B, 44, 44A, 8O, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 52, 46E, 47B, 48D, 49B, 50C and 52C, read October 31, 2026 (dates from each document’s “Dated” line or signature date); OFAC Venezuela FAQs 1218 and 1226 to 1248. The newest Venezuela-related action on the program page is dated October 16, 2026 (an amended general license, GL 60A, for earthquake relief, and an FAQ). Intermediate versions (for example 46A to 46D) are omitted.

What the current licenses allow, in OFAC’s words

OFAC’s FAQ 1227 describes the oil license (then GL 46B) as authorizing activity ordinarily incident to the lifting, exportation, sale, storage, purchase, delivery or transportation of Venezuelan-origin oil by an established U.S. entity, including refining and resale, swaps of oil, diluents or refined products, and financing of cargoes. FAQ 1229 defines an established U.S. entity as one organized under U.S. law on or before January 29, 2025. GL 46E, dated September 28, 2026, also requires anyone who sells Venezuelan-origin oil to countries other than the United States to report the parties, quantities, values, destinations, dates and any payments to the Government of Venezuela to the State Department and the Department of Energy, ten days after the first transaction and every 90 days after that.

The exclusions repeat across the licenses. FAQ 1227 and FAQ 1245 list: no transactions on terms that are not commercially reasonable; no payment in gold, debt swaps or Venezuelan government digital currency; nothing involving persons in Russia, Iran, North Korea or Cuba, or entities they own or control; nothing involving a Venezuelan or U.S. entity owned or controlled by, or in a joint venture with, a person in China; no unblocking of blocked property; and nothing involving a blocked vessel. FAQ 1231 adds that GL 46 does not restrict resale of Venezuelan-origin oil to China by an established U.S. entity. FAQ 1237 says routine local taxes, permits and fees may be paid to the government, while royalties, per-barrel production levies and federal taxes must go into the Foreign Government Deposit Funds set up by Executive Order 14373.

The upstream licenses are narrower than the oil-trading one. FAQ 1228 states that GL 46 alone does not authorize exploration, drilling or negotiations to develop fields. That work runs through GL 48 (goods, technology and services for exploration and production, including spare parts and well stimulation products, per FAQ 1241, without new joint ventures), GL 49 (negotiating contingent contracts for new investment, with performance needing a specific license, per FAQ 1244), GL 50C (full operations, new investment and new joint ventures for the six companies in its annex) and GL 52C (transactions with PdVSA, including new investment contracts and joint ventures, per FAQ 1245, but excluding PdVSA bonds, equity and the governance of PDV Holding, Citgo Holding or Citgo Petroleum).

Lining up licenses against barrels

Putting Table 5 next to Tables 1 and 2 shows how quickly each authorization reached the import data, and how much slower production responded. The pairs below use only dates from the OFAC documents and figures from the EIA series above.

Table 6. OFAC dates against EIA production and import data

OFAC dateActionWhat the EIA data show next
Jan 28, 2019Oil-sector determination under E.O. 13850Imports: 561 kb/d in Jan 2019, 47 in Mar, 11 in May, none Jun 2019 to Dec 2022. Production: 1,271 kb/d in Jan 2019, 360 by Sep 2020.
Nov 26, 2022GL 41 for Chevron joint venturesImports restart at 40 kb/d in Jan 2023 and reach 166 in Oct 2023. Annual production 2022 to 2023: 724 to 771 kb/d.
Oct 18, 2023GL 44, oil and gas sector operationsMonthly production 765 kb/d in Oct 2023, 800 in Jan 2024, 870 in May 2024.
Apr 17, 2024GL 44A, wind-down to May 31, 2024Production keeps rising: 860 kb/d in Jun 2024, 910 in Oct 2024. Imports average 228 kb/d for 2024, the most since 2018.
Mar 4 and 24, 2025GL 41A and 41B, Chevron wind-down to May 27, 2025Imports fall from 253 kb/d in Mar 2025 to 86 in Jun and 7 in Jul. Production keeps rising to 1,005 kb/d by Oct 2025.
Jan 9 and 29, 2026E.O. 14373; GL 46 for Venezuelan-origin oilAfter the Dec 2025 to Jan 2026 dip (830 kb/d in Jan), production reaches 1,060 in Mar and 1,160 in May. Imports reach 373 kb/d in Mar.
Feb to Mar 2026GL 47, 48, 49, 50 and 52Imports 429 kb/d in Apr, 630 in Jun, 701 in Jul. STEO crude 1.07 million b/d in Apr, 1.21 million in Sep.

Sources: OFAC license documents and program page, checked October 31, 2026; EIA series in Tables 1 and 2. Monthly production here is EIA INTL.57-1-VEN-TBPD.M except where marked STEO. The table pairs dates; it does not attribute every change to a license.

The pattern in Table 6 is that imports respond within one to three months of a license change, in either direction, while production moves more slowly. The 2025 case is the clearest: U.S. imports fell by 97% between March and July 2025 while Venezuelan output, by the EIA’s count, kept growing, which means the barrels went somewhere other than the United States. The 2019 case ran the other way, with imports and production falling together, and the EIA’s May 2019 article pointed to power outages and the departure of oilfield service companies alongside the sanctions. Licenses set who may buy; the production line depends on diluent, power, rigs and reservoirs as well.

Why two Venezuela figures for the same month disagree

  • Crude versus liquids. A figure of 1.28 million and one of 1.21 million for September 2026 are both EIA numbers; the first counts all liquids. Always check which line a number comes from before comparing it with OPEC, whose tables are crude only.
  • STEO versus international statistics. The 30 thousand barrel a day offset described above means an outlook figure and a database figure for the same month differ even when nothing was revised.
  • Estimates held level. 2011 to 2014 all read 2,500 thousand barrels a day. Year-to-year changes across that stretch carry no information.
  • Vintages. Monthly values a few months old can still move by tens of thousands of barrels a day, as the 2019 and 2023 examples show. Note the release date of any figure you save.
  • Imports versus liftings. The U.S. import series counts barrels entering the United States by country of origin, not barrels lifted in Venezuela, so oil that sat in Caribbean storage in early 2026 shows up in a later month.
  • No EIA forecast for Venezuela. The outlook forecasts OPEC as a whole. A 2026 or 2027 Venezuela projection attributed to the EIA is a misreading; the country row is blank after the latest estimated month.

Five checks before repeating a Venezuela barrel count

Most of the conflicting numbers in circulation come down to a few labels. Before using one, run it through these steps.

  1. Which publisher? EIA, OPEC, or a figure attributed to Venezuela or PdVSA directly. If it is OPEC, find whether it came from the secondary-sources table or the direct-communication table.
  2. Crude or liquids? In the October 2026 outlook no 2026 month exceeds 1.21 million barrels a day of crude, so a higher 2026 figure from that period is likely a liquids total or a direct-communication figure; compare with Table 2 and Table 3.
  3. Which period? A month, a quarter and a year differ. In 2026 alone the outlook’s crude figure ranged from 0.80 million in January to 1.21 million in September.
  4. Which vintage? If the source is more than a few months old, check the same month in the current EIA or OPEC release; the figure may have been revised by 30 thousand barrels a day or more.
  5. Does it come with a license claim? Check the OFAC Venezuela page for the current version; Table 5 shows that versions changed four or five times in eight months during 2026.

The rest of the producer picture is on the supply, trade and refining shelf of the deep-dive library. If your question is where Venezuela’s barrels end up once refined in the United States, the next stop is U.S. refinery capacity in 2026, which lists the Gulf Coast plants by size, including the heavy-crude coking capacity that makes Merey worth buying.

Venezuela oil production questions

How much oil does Venezuela produce in 2026?

About 1.2 million barrels a day of crude by the third quarter. The EIA’s October 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook puts Venezuelan crude at 0.93 million barrels a day in the first quarter of 2026, 1.11 million in the second and 1.18 million in the third, with September at 1.21 million. Counting natural gas liquids and other liquids, the same outlook shows 1.28 million in September. These are EIA estimates; the outlook does not forecast Venezuela on its own.

What was Venezuela’s highest oil production year?

In EIA’s annual series, which starts in 1973, the top year is 1973 itself at about 3.37 million barrels a day of crude including lease condensate. Since 1980 the high point is 1997 at about 3.18 million. The 2025 average of 973 thousand barrels a day is 31% of the 1997 level.

Why do OPEC and Venezuela report different production numbers?

OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report prints two tables for each member: crude production based on secondary sources, and crude production based on direct communication, meaning the figure the country reports. For Venezuela the two were 934 and 1,142 thousand barrels a day in November 2025, a gap of 208 thousand. They are separate series and should be quoted with their labels, not averaged.

How much oil does the United States import from Venezuela?

The EIA counts 140 thousand barrels a day of crude imports from Venezuela for 2025, down from 228 thousand in 2024. Monthly imports then rose through July 2026, reaching 701 thousand barrels a day, before easing to 655 thousand in August, the latest month in the October 30, 2026 release. There were no imports reported from mid-2019 through 2022.

When did U.S. imports of Venezuelan oil stop and restart?

The EIA monthly series shows 11 thousand barrels a day in May 2019 and nothing reported from June 2019 through December 2022. Imports restarted in January 2023 at 40 thousand barrels a day, after OFAC issued General License 41 for Chevron’s joint ventures on November 26, 2022.

Which OFAC licenses cover Venezuelan oil as of October 2026?

OFAC’s Venezuela-related sanctions page, checked October 31, 2026, lists General Licenses 46E (Venezuelan-origin oil and petrochemicals), 47B (U.S. diluents), 48D (goods and services for oil and gas), 49B (contingent investment contracts), 50C (operations of six named companies) and 52C (transactions with PdVSA). General Licenses 41B, 44A and 8O have expired. License terms change often, so the OFAC page itself is the reference.

Data and sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, International Energy Statistics bulk file (INTL.zip), file dated October 19, 2026, Venezuela and world series as listed under Table 1, checked October 31, 2026. EIA, U.S. Imports from Venezuela of Crude Oil (annual and monthly) and U.S. Imports of Crude Oil, release of October 30, 2026, checked October 31, 2026. EIA, Short-Term Energy Outlook, October 2026 (monthly spreadsheet and full report, Tables 3c and 3d) and the February 2026 edition, checked October 31, 2026. EIA Today in Energy, Venezuelan crude oil production falls to lowest level since January 2003 (May 20, 2019) and Venezuela’s heavy crude oil output increases are limited following U.S. sanctions relief (October 23, 2023), checked October 31, 2026. EIA, Country Analysis Brief: Venezuela (February 2024), checked October 31, 2026. OPEC, Monthly Oil Market Report, April 2025 (Wayback copy, saved January 4, 2026) and December 2025 (Wayback copy, saved April 5, 2026), Tables 5-7 and 5-8. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Office of Foreign Assets Control, Venezuela-Related Sanctions, Archive of Revoked and Expired General Licenses and Venezuela Sanctions FAQs, with the general license documents listed under Table 5, all checked October 31, 2026. Shares, gaps, averages and ratios are this page’s arithmetic.